Thoughtful-Increase
0xcf921da8c63d075e295045def06a0e6f33c752e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$67.87
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
65 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$64.97
$-0.03
- OVER
Kessler vs. Zarazua: Match O/U 22.5
6 shares @ 46.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$2.90
$0.23
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2692 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 29, 5AM ET
635 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-317.50
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 29, 4AM ET
540 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-270.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 29, 3AM ET
525 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-262.50
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 29, 2AM ET
520 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-260.00
- MAGIC
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)
478 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-239.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKessler vs. Zarazua: Match O/U 22.5$2.71May 16, 06:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$65.02May 15, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Rockets (-2.5)$239.00Feb 26, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.3KDec 30, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$50.00Dec 30, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 29, 6AM ET$1.3KDec 30, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 29, 6AM ET$672.50Dec 29, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 29, 5AM ET$317.50Dec 29, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 29, 4AM ET$270.00Dec 29, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 29, 3AM ET$17.50Dec 29, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 29, 3AM ET$245.00Dec 29, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 29, 2AM ET$260.00Dec 29, 05:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $312.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 05:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 06:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".