Watery-Howitzer
0xcfa34c86ecd59cf2017bfc2d2cf8e81078ed8216
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 5?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 10?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 31?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Trump end USAID in first 100 days?
60 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$73.87May 31, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$73.80May 26, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$73.87May 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$73.80May 22, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$73.77May 15, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$73.70May 14, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$73.67May 12, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$73.61May 12, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$73.57May 11, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$73.50May 10, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$73.57May 1, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$73.50May 1, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$73.53May 1, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$73.46Apr 27, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 22?$73.47Apr 27, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 22?$73.40Apr 22, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?$28.36Apr 22, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?$45.04Apr 22, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?$28.33Apr 17, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?$45.00Apr 17, 02:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $62.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 05:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 03:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".