Amazing-Sake
0xcfa3a6d58c88cf2e23bb4292c87889632314c48e
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-307.91
Realised
$73.62
Win rate
89%
75 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 9?
150 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 12?
115 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 4?
100 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 26?
100 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 29?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 4?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 27?
100 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 7?
100 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 28?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 5?
100 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.63
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 8?$0.02Jul 8, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 8?$0.88Jul 8, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 8?$0.05Jul 8, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 8?$1.35Jul 8, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 8?$0.42Jul 8, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 8?$0.75Jul 8, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 8?$0.64Jul 8, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 8?$0.88Jul 8, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 8?$0.62Jul 8, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 8?$0.73Jul 8, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 8?$0.59Jul 8, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 8?$0.33Jul 7, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 8?$0.08Jul 7, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 8?$4.45Jul 7, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 8?$0.63Jul 7, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 8?$0.17Jul 7, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 8?$0.42Jul 7, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 8?$0.42Jul 7, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 7?$0.81Jul 7, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 7?$0.77Jul 7, 17:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 75 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
75 closed markets, 89% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 12:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 10:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 75 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.