Substantial-Republican
0xcfabaf42f5186acc97bc1865442f0c5f813b084e
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$28.77
Total PnL
$-4.32
Realised
$-5.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 66.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.80
$0.60
- NO
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?
2 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$1.50
$0.10
- NO
Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$1.41
$0.01
- NO
Priti Patel next Conservative party leader?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.40
$0.00
- NO
Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d’Or?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$1.40
$0.00
- NO
Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$1.40
$0.00
- YES
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$1.30
$0.10
- NO
Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Brentford wins the Premier League?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$1.30
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$1.20Oct 29, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.20Oct 29, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$1.40Oct 28, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iraq before November?$1.20Oct 28, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another player win the Ballon d'Or?$1.20Oct 28, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?$5.2KOct 26, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrentford wins the Premier League?$1.30Oct 26, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?$1.30Oct 26, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester United wins the Premier League?$1.20Oct 26, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNigel Farage next Conservative party leader?$1.20Oct 26, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYPriti Patel next Conservative party leader?$1.40Oct 26, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Cleverly next Conservative party leader?$1.20Oct 26, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Tugendhat next Conservative party leader?$1.30Oct 26, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phil Foden win the Ballon d’Or?$1.30Oct 26, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the Ballon d’Or?$1.40Oct 26, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?$1.20Oct 26, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nico Williams win the Ballon d’Or?$1.20Oct 26, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?$1.20Oct 26, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?$1.40Oct 26, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?$1.20Oct 26, 05:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $452.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 05:03 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 29, 14:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".