Agonizing-Scaffold
0xcfac5616263b12ed3e2c24d8024fa75344f3a4fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.44
Total PnL
$-639.84
Realised
$0.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
115 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.44
$-0.06
- NO
Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?
336 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.34
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
285 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
242 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-95.60
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
238 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?
201 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025?
150 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 26?
141 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.64
- YES
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?
114 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- JAPAN
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
111 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?$25.46Jul 28, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?$14.07Jul 28, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?$7.04Jul 28, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?$7.04Jul 28, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?$7.04Jul 28, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 29?$0.86Jul 28, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 29?$0.90Jul 28, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 28?$8.15Jul 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 28?$3.06Jul 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 28?$11.78Jul 28, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 29?$16.27Jul 28, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 29?$16.74Jul 28, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$1.62Jul 28, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing?$25.75Jul 28, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$23.46Jul 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$49.75Jul 28, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$16.58Jul 28, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing?$46.23Jul 28, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$16.87Jul 28, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$12.06Jul 28, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $23.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 09:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.