Political-Plugin
0xcfac60375e3799ff4941cd9d07bf7ca6dfcd8a19
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$7.63
Total PnL
$-2.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$4.44
$3.24
- NO
Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.63
$0.29
- NO
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
2 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.55
$0.31
- YES
Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Erling Haaland sign with a new club during the transfer window?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Inter Miami CF win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Luis Diaz sign with a new club during the transfer window?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon register the America Party in July?$1.16Oct 12, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abstract launch a token in 2025?$1.34Oct 12, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.24Oct 12, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.20Oct 12, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$3.38Jul 12, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon register the America Party in July?$1.00Jul 12, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Diaz sign with a new club during the transfer window? $1.00Jul 12, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?$1.00Jun 22, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup?$1.00Jun 22, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland sign with a new club during the transfer window?$1.00Jun 22, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Jun 22, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$1.00Jun 22, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?$0.00Jun 22, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$0.00Jun 22, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$0.00Jun 22, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atletico Madrid win La Liga?$1.05Jun 22, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin up in Q1 2025?$1.30Jun 22, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$1.41Jun 22, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$3.70Jun 22, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$1.00Mar 25, 21:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 13:36 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 12, 15:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.