Rough-Sparrow
0xcfad431b6f66e606602b581849367e31e9d76d13
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Victory" three or more times in his speech after the election is called?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?
4 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?$1.00Nov 4, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 6, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AP call the election on November 6?$1.06Nov 6, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?$1.00Nov 5, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$4.00Nov 5, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Victory" three or more times in his speech after the election is called?$10.00Nov 5, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 5, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" 25 or more times during Michigan rally on Nov 4?$25.20Nov 5, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nazi" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$0.00Nov 5, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iraq before November?$0.00Nov 5, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" 25 or more times during Michigan rally on Nov 4?$13.86Nov 4, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$13.85Nov 4, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AP call the election on November 6?$0.50Nov 2, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$12.00Oct 30, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$20.00Oct 30, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nazi" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$10.00Oct 29, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iraq before November?$1.00Oct 29, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$20.00Oct 29, 21:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $9.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 21:50 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 21:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".