Simple-Obsession
0xcfad7a4c00b7438cdca95211ee1f634244be66e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
119
Open notional
$526.82
Total PnL
$-12.4K
Realised
$147.13
Win rate
53%
49 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5546 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$526.82
$-305.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
767 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-666.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
672 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-46.65
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
583 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-304.14
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
556 shares @ 54.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-304.75
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
549 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-304.91
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
545 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-305.01
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
539 shares @ 56.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-305.16
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
505 shares @ 60.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-306.06
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
495 shares @ 61.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-306.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$4.03Jun 14, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$13.72Jun 14, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$30.97Jun 14, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$23.89Jun 14, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$31.00Jun 14, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$22.77Jun 14, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$31.00Jun 14, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? AND Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$10.29Jun 14, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$4.58Jun 14, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$9.34Jun 14, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$30.95Jun 14, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$8.53Jun 14, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$11.06Jun 14, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$30.96Jun 14, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$860.11May 22, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$5.76May 16, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$11.29May 16, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$12.99May 16, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$18.69May 16, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$19.53May 16, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $38.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 11:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 23:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 49 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.