Menacing-Exploration
0xcfb4e1b617538b23415d47228ef54f8c1f4923ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$110.00
Total PnL
$6.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
42 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$42.00
$4.62
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
40 shares @ 82.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$40.00
$7.00
- YES
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
28 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$28.00
$0.14
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?
205 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.82
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?
30 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$27.86Oct 27, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$3.50Oct 27, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 27-30?$1.44Oct 27, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?$33.00Oct 11, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$37.38Sep 27, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by September 30?$0.82Sep 27, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$33.00Sep 27, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?$33.00Sep 27, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.00Jan 20, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$133.98Oct 21, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$133.98Oct 21, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$134.15Oct 21, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$133.59Oct 21, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$133.81Oct 21, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$12.39Oct 21, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$13.00Oct 21, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$10.43Oct 21, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$11.00Oct 21, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLSenate control after 2024 election?$11.37Oct 21, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenate control after 2024 election?$12.00Oct 21, 02:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $63.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 02:45 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 27, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.