0xcfb5bbcc7dfb90267905699458b50d414f5ecf85
0xcfb5bbcc7dfb90267905699458b50d414f5ecf85
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$11.80
Total PnL
$-226.93
Realised
$-26.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?
50 shares @ 25.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.75
$-5.75
- NO
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
50 shares @ 51.1¢·now 10.1¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$5.05
$-20.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
100 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.80
- YES
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 27?
70 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
56 shares @ 72.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-41.09
- NO
Will Solana dip to $170 in October?
56 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
36 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.40
- NO
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?
20 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-11.60
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
20 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.10
- YES
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.