Grave-Bargain-Surface
0xcfc3e4f801a168d103c1231952c1acd4d3812c84
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-303.55
Realised
$-8.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKingston: Jay Clarke vs Clement Chidekh AND Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova$69.00Aug 18, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLSet 2 Winner: Faria vs Walton$69.04Aug 18, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 2 Winner: Faria vs Walton$42.01Aug 18, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLCincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton$41.86Aug 18, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs Stephens$46.30Aug 18, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLCincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev$46.34Aug 18, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev$49.81Aug 18, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMSet 2 Winner: Tjen vs Andreeva$0.00Aug 18, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton$254.46Aug 18, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 2 Winner: Tjen vs Andreeva$57.23Aug 18, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)$257.25Aug 18, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges AND Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Madison Keys$58.54Aug 18, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLPrague 2: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Radu Mihai Papoe$51.75Aug 18, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrague 2: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Radu Mihai Papoe$42.21Aug 18, 14:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
4/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $83.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 14:50 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.