Hot-Grit
0xcfd02103d297da43f39b39db8ef4dfca99f69132
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-690.58
Realised
$-18.62
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
479 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 1?
474 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 2PM ET
294 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 23?
287 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- GOLDEN KNIGHTS
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
243 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1PM ET
229 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2PM ET
194 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
103 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Nuggets$136.36Mar 4, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMBucks vs. Bulls$170.45Mar 4, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 1, 2PM ET$118.01Mar 1, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?$330.23Mar 1, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2PM ET$382.70Mar 1, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLGolden Knights vs. Penguins$557.57Mar 1, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 1?$19.51Mar 1, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?$20.28Mar 1, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?$31.92Mar 1, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill MEXC be accused of insider trading?$0.00Mar 1, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill another company be accused of insider trading?$0.00Mar 1, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Nuggets$15.00Mar 1, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Bulls$15.00Mar 1, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Bulls$15.00Mar 1, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Nuggets$15.00Mar 1, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Nuggets$15.00Mar 1, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Bulls$15.00Mar 1, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Bulls$15.00Mar 1, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2PM ET$15.00Mar 1, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Bulls$15.00Mar 1, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $45.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 18:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 08:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".