Complicated-Read
0xcfd57d33b037699dd6b89fcddcd11e5d804bc4ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$111.94
Total PnL
$-7.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 1?
95 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$94.84
$0.57
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 1?
17 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$17.10
$0.03
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
567 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.65
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
153 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?
75 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 1?$3.29Oct 31, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 1?$17.07Oct 31, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 1?$90.98Oct 31, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.84Jul 27, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4500 in July?$1.26Jul 26, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150K in July?$1.72Jul 26, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4500 in July?$1.24Jul 26, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150K in July?$1.93Jul 26, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $125k in May?$95.51Jun 1, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125k in May?$26.59May 30, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125k in May?$68.76May 30, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $90,000 by Wednesday?$0.00May 30, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $90,000 by Wednesday?$54.43May 30, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$31.73Feb 27, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$33.05Feb 27, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $90,000 by Wednesday?$30.48Feb 26, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$35.31Feb 25, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$31.49Feb 25, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham win on 2025-02-16?$86.16Feb 17, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win on 2025-02-16?$37.91Feb 16, 11:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $27.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 04:35 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 31, 18:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".