Irresponsible-Sail
0xcfda6cb4c3334271e4acb635cb5b3f0f298bf996
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-42.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
5700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.70
- YES
Will Won Hee-ryong be elected the next president of South Korea?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Laphonza Butler be the next DNC chair?
2803 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
2146 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on December 2?
2076 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?
1333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the New Democratic Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on December 2?$5.00Dec 2, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.70Oct 12, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Won Hee-ryong be elected the next president of South Korea?$5.00May 26, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Democratic Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?$2.00Mar 15, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 250-274 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$3.00Feb 3, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laphonza Butler be the next DNC chair?$5.00Feb 2, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$7.00Jan 17, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$3.00Jan 11, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?$4.00Jan 11, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$3.00Jan 11, 10:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $4.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 10:32 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 2, 07:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".