Tense-Dilution
0xcfe3ca2043579ab13cc6540120ae3eaf03bd8a71
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$150.00
Total PnL
$36.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
110 shares @ 76.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$110.00
$26.07
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 65.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$30.00
$10.44
- NO
Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$10.00
$0.01
- YES
Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?
60 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$83.93Dec 10, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEM US Open: Sinner vs. Medvedev$110.00Dec 10, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 10, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?$0.12Nov 18, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$19.56Oct 27, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$84.60Oct 9, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?$54.24Oct 9, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$59.76Oct 9, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$9.99Oct 7, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?$52.62Sep 17, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$59.82Sep 8, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$119.64Sep 8, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$119.88Sep 7, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUY US Open: Sinner vs. Medvedev$79.20Sep 4, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$159.52Sep 4, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$158.72Aug 19, 21:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $75.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 21:35 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 23:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.