Complicated-Nurture
0xcfe528f76a6f73f62c35af902ac0e5f77519e747
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$5.06
Total PnL
$-100.03
Realised
$-13.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
110 shares @ 4.2¢·now 4.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.06
$0.46
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
1107 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-33.93
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?
553 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-51.07
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 11AM ET
47 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.49Jun 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04Jun 2, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.25May 28, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?$2.80Oct 28, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$2.80Oct 28, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?$5.22Oct 27, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$5.23Oct 27, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?$2.60Oct 27, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$2.60Oct 27, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 6, 11AM ET$2.36Oct 6, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 6, 10AM ET$2.36Oct 6, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 6, 10AM ET$2.20Oct 6, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model on October 31?$2.20Oct 4, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?$12.88Oct 4, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?$7.05Oct 4, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model on October 31?$3.15Oct 4, 14:24 UTC
- SPLITWill Google have the top AI model on October 31?$2.00Oct 4, 14:16 UTC
- SPLITWill Google have the top AI model on October 31?$3.00Oct 4, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$6.40Oct 4, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$1.28Oct 4, 13:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 08:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".