Grumpy-Material
0xcff56e02894f130cb9fbb2054cb5c53402863c7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$528.28
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-10?
376 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$376.08
$278.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
152 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$152.20
$54.79
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
435 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- CLIPPERS
Clippers vs. Pistons
357 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
351 shares @ 55.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-193.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
338 shares @ 57.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-193.87
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?
309 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-197.84
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?
258 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-98.14
- YES
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?
253 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- CLIPPERS
Clippers vs. Lakers
250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$200.00Apr 11, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$200.00Apr 11, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$100.00Apr 10, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$0.00Apr 10, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.00Apr 10, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$300.10Apr 10, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$100.00Apr 10, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$164.49Apr 10, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$170.01Apr 10, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$100.00Apr 10, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$100.00Apr 10, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 6800–6900 on April 8?$184.34Apr 10, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris FC win on 2026-04-10?$100.00Apr 9, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 6800–6900 on April 8?$100.00Apr 8, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettini$100.00Apr 8, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?$200.00Apr 8, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$100.00Apr 7, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?$100.00Aug 17, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBoxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2$778.44Jul 19, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2$300.00Jul 19, 10:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $138.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 15:14 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".