0xcff71c25487667be9e335837689c4b6937de72b1
0xcff71c25487667be9e335837689c4b6937de72b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-72.34
Realised
$-0.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
1005 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?
525 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-65.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
37 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?$9.90Feb 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?$9.92Feb 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?$10.50Feb 18, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?$4.30Feb 18, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?$3.00Feb 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?$10.00Feb 17, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?$8.60Feb 17, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?$8.63Feb 17, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?$4.80Feb 17, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?$5.00Feb 17, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?$19.80Feb 17, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?$20.56Feb 17, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$0.92Feb 17, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$1.00Feb 17, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?$5.00Feb 17, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$2.11Feb 17, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.00Feb 17, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$0.17Feb 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.00Feb 17, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$2.44Feb 17, 12:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 09:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 05:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.