Bitter-Blog
0xcffc44ef5956ecfbc91bd4dfab1cfe087159eea5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-268.09
Realised
$-5.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
7040 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-119.68
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
1541 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-29.28
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco?
980 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting?
278 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during his announcement on September 2?
38 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2025$0.00
$-8.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLExact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco?$42.85Jun 13, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco?$102.85Jun 13, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland?$30.63Jun 13, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLSwitzerland leading at halftime?$145.01Jun 13, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland leading at halftime?$101.08Jun 13, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$212.71Sep 24, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$306.05Sep 18, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during his announcement on September 2?$8.25Sep 2, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Stroke" during his announcement on September 2?$8.25Sep 2, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stroke" during his announcement on September 2?$100.87Sep 2, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$119.68Jul 30, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden finish his term?$0.00May 7, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00May 7, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.00May 7, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$29.28May 7, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting?$25.00May 7, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?$50.00Oct 10, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?$0.00Oct 9, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?$0.00Oct 9, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?$432.42Oct 8, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $122.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 11:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 23:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.