Traumatic-Judo
0xd003a9199564d765e24d9a818ef545c51fab0113
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$95.09
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-46.34
Win rate
0%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
946 shares @ 2.1¢·now 10.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$95.09
$75.09
- NOVAK DJOKOVIC
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic
1732 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-224.67
- YES
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
1243 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-671.09
- YES
Will Keita Nakajima finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?
992 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-141.77
- YES
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
844 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
819 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
750 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Travelers Championship?
577 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Luis Díaz: 2+ goals
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will JT Poston win the 2026 Travelers Championship?
527 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lucas Herbert win the 2026 The Open Championship?$5.24Jul 19, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?$5.34Jul 19, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$3.15Jul 19, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$683.37Jul 19, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target$30.99Jul 15, 13:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keita Nakajima finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?$147.85Jul 14, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND France vs. Spain: France O/U 4.5 Corners AND France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: England O/U 4.5 Corners AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 Corners AND England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Corners$54.99Jul 14, 06:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$55.00Jul 13, 14:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev$49.13Jul 12, 15:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev$53.91Jul 11, 07:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic$104.20Jul 10, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?$50.00Jul 10, 02:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: France (-1.5)$142.86Jul 9, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance AND Spread: Spain (-1.5) AND Spread: France (-1.5)$29.99Jul 9, 11:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
34/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $85.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 07:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 15:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.