0xd00598949f2a46e428b3e800c43e0c5e4ce6a33d
0xd00598949f2a46e428b3e800c43e0c5e4ce6a33d
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$4.08
Total PnL
$-79.19
Realised
$-1.34
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 17?
398 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$3.58
$-1.19
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17?
201 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.50
$-2.24
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1078 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-34.49
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
294 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
118 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
94 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Thunder
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- KNICKS
Spurs vs. Knicks
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 17?$5.15Aug 14, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17?$2.96Aug 13, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs AND Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage AND Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty AND Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Harry Wendelken AND Cincinnati Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir Kecmanovic AND Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage AND Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Panna Udvardy AND Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals AND Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs AND Lions vs. Bengals AND Counter-Strike: Red Feet vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs AND Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Mees Rottgering AND Cincinnati Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Jan-Lennard Struff AND Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino AND Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage AND Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces AND Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun AND National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima AND LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs Role Swappers (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage AND Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-13?$9.97Aug 13, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies AND Washington Nationals vs. Athletics$10.93Jul 19, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$10.75Jul 19, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$10.00Jul 18, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5) AND Spread: France (-1.5)$5.35Jul 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by KO or TKO? AND Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? AND Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?$10.18Jul 14, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card) AND Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? AND Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?$11.06Jul 14, 12:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14Jul 8, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$35.49Jul 8, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5$20.02Jul 7, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 AND Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 AND United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score$20.70Jul 6, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score$41.87Jul 6, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$9.00Jul 5, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score$9.00Jul 5, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$3.19Jul 4, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$5.32Jul 4, 17:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $8.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 20:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.