Calm-Barometer
0xd006d17ad3ffc5d3766c74fc894e086f52162758
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$73.82
Total PnL
$-1.44
Realised
$-0.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
27 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$26.82
$1.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 10?
10 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$10.00
$0.24
- NO
Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$10.00
$1.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 10?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$10.00
$0.08
- NO
Will Phantom launch a token in 2025?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$10.00
$1.10
- YES
Will Sam Altman say "GPT" 7+ times during TBPN appearance on October 10?
7 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.00
$2.94
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 10?
10 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-7.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman say "GPT" 7+ times during TBPN appearance on October 10?$4.06Oct 10, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?$6.59Oct 10, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?$35.60Oct 10, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 10?$9.76Oct 10, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?$5.90Oct 10, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 10?$9.92Oct 10, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 10?$7.80Oct 10, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?$26.63Oct 9, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 9?$10.00Oct 9, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$569.89Oct 9, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$570.47Oct 9, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$565.11Oct 9, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$565.68Oct 9, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$552.96Oct 9, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$553.52Oct 9, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?$4.98Oct 9, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?$4.99Oct 9, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shedeur Sanders be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$25.05Oct 9, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shedeur Sanders be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$25.07Oct 9, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$540.06Oct 9, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $310.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 19:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.