Wallet profile

0xd008786fad743d0d5c60f99bff5d90ebc212135d

0xd008786fad743d0d5c60f99bff5d90ebc212135d

activity 77/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

77/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

20

Open notional

$45.00

Total PnL

$-271.5K

Realised

$18.6K

Win rate

75%

8 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 20

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$10.8K

Trades

1

Buy share

100%

Window

May 26, 22:40 UTC → Jul 8, 12:45 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $0.00

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

16/100
read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

Thin resolved sample

Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.

PnL is mostly mark-to-market

Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.

High mirror risk

Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

75% win rate over 8 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

0/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal
block

Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.

Resolved-only track record
review

8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

100%

Sample

low

2 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$5.8K · 54% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?54% of recorded volume$5.8KWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?46% of recorded volume$5.0K

Profile dimensions

Activity45 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence27 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk75 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
42
Avg trade size
$14.87
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 9, 18:12 UTC
Last active
Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
Win rate sample
8 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 03:45:37 UTC·src:Polymarket Data