Gifted-Scarification
0xd00a5ac2c57663a43ebc0fddb288965ce0ea8af7
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-292.25
Realised
$-138.86
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on June 27?
147 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 12?
91 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-24.65
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on March 18?
84 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-22.61
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 3?
70 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-18.61
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 27?
52 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-15.08
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 14?
51 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.98
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 13?
46 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-13.67
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 4PM ET
46 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.73
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 15?
38 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.71
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 29?
30 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 29?$109.39Jul 29, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 29?$0.13Jul 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 29?$106.31Jul 28, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 2?$130.21Jul 2, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 2?$0.21Jul 2, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 2?$127.14Jul 2, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on June 27?$2.35Jun 26, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?$118.55May 31, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?$116.77May 30, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?$123.91May 18, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?$121.06May 18, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 28?$123.02May 10, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 28?$119.82Apr 27, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8AM ET$0.00Apr 27, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5?$124.80Apr 21, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 15?$1.93Apr 15, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 27?$0.00Apr 12, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.29Apr 5, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5?$0.18Apr 5, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5?$123.00Apr 5, 18:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $41.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 12:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 21:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.