Likely-Bet
0xd00f529f97156cc6113e764b478fb8a7e2f1d691
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$22.34
Total PnL
$-166.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 16?$29.38May 16, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.86Mar 4, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.22Mar 3, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 16-22?$0.00Mar 3, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 16-22?$1.22Mar 3, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 16-22?$1.11Feb 18, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLFever vs Mercury$1.11Aug 8, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFever vs Mercury$26.61Aug 8, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?$26.61Aug 8, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$2.30Jul 1, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?$2.30Jul 1, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?$41.75Jun 30, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$0.48Jun 28, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$0.04Jun 28, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$0.04Jun 28, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$1.52Jun 28, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$1.55Jun 28, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$1.55Jun 28, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$0.09Jun 28, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$0.15Jun 27, 23:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 15:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 11:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".