Gruesome-Fig
0xd00f6710a8a9ce34524f286e53e47a3d445d6b9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will "The Way I Am - Luke Combs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 11?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.04
- YES
Will Paprika Recipe Manager 3 be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.57
- YES
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.57
- NO
Will neither OP_CTV nor OP_CAT be activated in 2025?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.56
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60 °F or higher on December 5?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.54
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 5 - January 11 be less than 13,750,000?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.53
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.52
- NO
Will December 2025 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.52
Recent activity
- REWARD$5.97Jun 26, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?$1.03Jun 14, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces enter Tyre by May 31?$1.09Jun 14, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces enter Tyre by May 31?$7.29Jun 3, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?$1.00Jun 3, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Tyre by May 31?$8.40Jun 3, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Khatnie by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 1, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.00May 1, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Someone Has to Know" be the top US Netflix show this week?$0.00May 1, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.00May 1, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$0.00May 1, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Equifax (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00May 1, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMHouthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?$0.00May 1, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of April 13 2026?$0.00May 1, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 19?$0.00May 1, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tony Finau finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?$0.00May 1, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.00May 1, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.00May 1, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Khatnie by April 30, 2026?$1.01May 1, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$1.05May 1, 09:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
4/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $5.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 13:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.