Trim-Controller-Transfer
0xd00fcee13b2a0e547396b9655d6b9d78d9d71ba0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-484.14
Win rate
0%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
1400 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-311.96
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?
1000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 9?
830 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-13.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
690 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-187.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
509 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-28.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
500 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.80
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?
500 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
400 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 10?
317 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.21
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.84Jul 11, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.08Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?$15.71Jul 10, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$15.57Jul 10, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?$17.23Jul 10, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?$11.44Jul 10, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?$125.28Jul 10, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$68.76Jul 10, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?$51.28Jul 10, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$139.90Jul 10, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$22.19Jul 10, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$6.26Jul 10, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$81.11Jul 10, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$20.52Jul 10, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$15.96Jul 10, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$15.96Jul 10, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$3.24Jul 10, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$46.11Jul 10, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$73.08Jul 10, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$33.06Jul 10, 08:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
33 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $26.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 06:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.