Reliable-Incandescence
0xd020b177162aa7caad1320fcb314be45770030fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$155.16
Total PnL
$-2.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Franco Parisi win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
155 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$155.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Armenia end in a draw?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Albania vs. England end in a draw?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- FLYERS
Islanders vs. Flyers
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Parisi win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$155.00Nov 16, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania vs. England end in a draw?$1.00Nov 16, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Armenia end in a draw?$1.00Nov 16, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMBears vs. Lions$2.38Nov 16, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$106.32Nov 16, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$101.00Oct 15, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIslanders vs. Flyers$1.00Jan 31, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?$0.00Jan 31, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?$7.00Nov 26, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?$3.50Nov 26, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?$12.25Nov 26, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBears vs. Lions$2.00Nov 26, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?$7.00Nov 26, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$210.01Nov 26, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$128.94Nov 1, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$127.10Nov 1, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$112.71Oct 10, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$111.52Oct 10, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Sep 24, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$0.00Sep 24, 05:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $58.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 10, 15:06 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 16, 14:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".