Brief-Mover
0xd0247f0c2ed3de49db284651b9ef9a2af55d9e67
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$117.12
Total PnL
$-103.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?
117 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$117.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 30?
1033 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 13?
825 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 23-29?
730 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 18?
680 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 4?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 10?
665 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 18?
665 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 30?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?$117.01Jul 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$4.01Jul 18, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $50 in June?$121.12Jul 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $50 in June?$121.01Jun 30, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$86.14Jun 30, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFoggia: Elizara Yaneva vs Lisa Pigato$5.30Jun 1, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.96Jun 1, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 30?$13.01Jun 1, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$14.61Jun 1, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$86.06May 31, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers$7.56May 31, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Ursa vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage$6.34May 31, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$87.29May 31, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$87.20May 30, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Ursa vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage$5.49May 30, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?$91.89May 30, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?$92.02May 30, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$14.60May 30, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$107.43May 30, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$107.33May 29, 09:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $89.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 06:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 06:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.