Knotty-Shot
0xd02a2f3e2221792c268e9310952bf3a415742921
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?
20209 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-161.67
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
16108 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-225.49
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
9794 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-293.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
5000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 14?
3306 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-52.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
3133 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-374.97
- NO
Will Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 20+ times during December press conference?
2228 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-197.40
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
2000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-36.40
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?
1997 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-143.64
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?
1064 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-510.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?$91.60Dec 10, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?$102.00Dec 10, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$4.78Dec 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.00Dec 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.54Dec 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$20.79Dec 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.75Dec 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.65Dec 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.79Dec 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$13.30Dec 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$2.25Dec 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$2.25Dec 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$5.00Dec 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.05Dec 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.35Dec 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$5.00Dec 10, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$11.50Dec 10, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$3.10Dec 10, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.87Dec 10, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.71Dec 10, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $26.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 19:27 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 20:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".