Unlucky-Analogy
0xd031aff7bfe25aedf8b142fa036d20c4c24a2b3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$18.33
Total PnL
$-0.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?$11.13May 11, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?$17.86May 11, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?$10.00Feb 14, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Suns$10.96Feb 14, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Suns$8.00Feb 10, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMBruins vs. Panthers$14.29Feb 6, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBruins vs. Panthers$8.00Feb 4, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage$5.13Feb 4, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$15.99Feb 4, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage$4.00Jan 25, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBills vs. Broncos$8.00Jan 15, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$15.00Jan 14, 09:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $9.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 02:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.