Neglected-Twig
0xd0378f130eb58e813ceacb3148bb3501590215ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-34.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be less than 70%?
388 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.77
- YES
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 81 and 84%?
175 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
88 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 1150 and 1199 times September 1–30?
31 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.96
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 12 ET?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$0.00Jan 12, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 72 and 75%?$0.00Dec 22, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?$0.00Dec 22, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Dec 22, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.00Dec 22, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$0.00Dec 22, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?$5.47Oct 1, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?$0.00Sep 24, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$0.00Sep 23, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?$3.50Sep 20, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLNew arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?$2.75Sep 20, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBull run: September$0.74Sep 20, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?$0.00Sep 20, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?$0.00Sep 20, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$25.60Sep 18, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$25.60Sep 18, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$31.47Sep 18, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana all time high before 2026?$31.48Sep 18, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 1150 and 1199 times September 1–30?$5.96Sep 18, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$1.76Sep 18, 09:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $12.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 16, 22:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 21:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".