Monumental-Tiara
0xd03b35c3c91186efb792c2cba2b389e98b58d30b
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
29000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-87.00
- YES
Will the Liberal Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?
7958 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-86.99
- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
4539 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?
3616 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-76.00
- YES
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?
3425 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-355.88
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?
2826 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-76.00
- YES
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?
2730 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-354.89
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?
1951 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-76.00
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?
1267 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-76.00
- YES
Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?
744 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-87.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?$177.89Apr 13, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?$177.89Apr 13, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?$178.00Apr 11, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?$177.00Apr 11, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?$87.34Apr 11, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?$87.00Apr 11, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$87.00Apr 11, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$87.00Apr 11, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?$76.00Apr 9, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?$76.00Apr 9, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?$76.00Apr 9, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?$76.00Apr 9, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?$76.00Apr 9, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$300.00Apr 8, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$338.60Apr 5, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$339.29Apr 5, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$355.13Apr 3, 21:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $163.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 21:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 17:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.