Hoarse-Bracelet
0xd0405e34d65fb1bef4dae651c10c84c1fb92c1ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-645.26
Realised
$13.24
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on April 27?
1900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 56°F or higher on April 27?
1895 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26?
1824 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 26?
1454 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 26?
1425 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 26?
950 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
598 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-18.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
571 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-18.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
532 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-19.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
465 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$5.33Jun 29, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$7.47Jun 29, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$5.26Jun 29, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$10.06Jun 29, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$10.08Jun 29, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.06Jun 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.05Jun 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$10.55Jun 28, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$10.39Jun 28, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$10.34Jun 28, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$10.34Jun 28, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$10.34Jun 28, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.76Jun 28, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$5.19Jun 28, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$10.28Jun 28, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$0.00Jun 28, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$11.43Jun 28, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$5.04Jun 28, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$5.05Jun 28, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$0.00Jun 28, 16:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 22:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.