Menacing-Abnormality-Question
0xd04bf98c1dd09df896ce0784ccacd8509901b38b
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$51.10
Total PnL
$-23.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
179 shares @ 13.9¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$22.41
$-2.59
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
192 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$18.27
$-6.73
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
4167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$10.42
$-14.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$25.00Jun 11, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?$25.00Jun 11, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$25.00Jun 11, 21:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $25.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 21:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 22:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.