0xd04caf551414bae71c88ba1cdf00df83a7a6b68f
0xd04caf551414bae71c88ba1cdf00df83a7a6b68f
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$281.31
Total PnL
$-648.13
Realised
$-273.79
Win rate
11%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on March 1?
94 shares @ 27.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$93.95
$67.91
- YES
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?
64 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$64.10
$44.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 1?
45 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$45.11
$32.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on March 2?
44 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$44.15
$32.67
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
34 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$34.00
$28.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -8°C on March 1?
422 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-32.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 9?
370 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C on March 2?
274 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on March 2?
217 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 28?
213 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-54.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Pushpa Kamal Dahal (“Prachanda”) be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$0.00Mar 27, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Don Tracy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?$65.52Mar 19, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmy Lee Tillman II be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?$1.05Mar 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill R. Cary Capparelli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?$1.83Mar 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Don Tracy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?$59.62Mar 10, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rastriya Swatantra Party win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$0.00Mar 9, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nepali Congress win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$68.40Mar 9, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$9.27Mar 8, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.69Mar 8, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$0.00Mar 8, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$0.00Mar 8, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 2?$0.00Mar 7, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on March 9?$8.00Mar 7, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 8?$3.08Mar 7, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 8?$1.01Mar 7, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 8?$3.08Mar 7, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 9?$1.10Mar 7, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 8?$1.44Mar 7, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 8?$2.96Mar 7, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 9?$1.03Mar 7, 17:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 11:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".