Worried-Efficiency
0xd051c1e33038988997446556d1f9d52cfbeaf522
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-408.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
33333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2857 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 11?
990 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
684 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-99.61
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
275 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
81 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$20.00Feb 14, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$20.00Feb 14, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$20.00Feb 11, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 11?$40.00Feb 11, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Jan 30, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$19.34Jan 30, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$19.34Jan 30, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$8.84Jan 30, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$100.00Jan 30, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$39.22Dec 12, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$20.00Dec 12, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$20.00Dec 12, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$20.00Dec 12, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$21.05Dec 12, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$38.58Dec 12, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$20.00Dec 12, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$20.00Dec 12, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$20.00Dec 12, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$20.00Dec 12, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$10.00Dec 12, 09:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $25.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 11:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".