Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-273.46

Realised

$-12.64

Win rate

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 25

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
197 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-55.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
160 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025
$0.00
$-33.26
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
122 shares @ 60.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-73.27
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
53 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-9.30
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
26 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-7.56
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
23 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025
$0.00
$-6.21
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
23 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-10.89
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-9.90
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
19 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-9.90
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
19 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-9.90

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$33.26Dec 28, 06:08 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$9.01Dec 28, 06:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$4.34Dec 28, 06:00 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$28.59Dec 28, 05:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$15.34Dec 28, 05:47 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$15.35Dec 28, 05:37 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$8.44Dec 28, 05:29 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$1.00Dec 28, 05:28 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$9.44Dec 28, 05:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$7.67Dec 28, 05:21 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$0.25Dec 28, 05:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.00Dec 28, 05:13 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.40Dec 28, 02:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$5.00Dec 28, 02:14 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.59Dec 28, 02:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$4.20Dec 28, 02:00 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$1.14Dec 28, 01:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$5.10Dec 28, 01:45 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.22Dec 28, 01:36 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$5.10Dec 28, 01:30 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry52 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk47 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 49
Avg trade size: $6.09
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 27, 21:38 UTC
Last active: Dec 28, 06:08 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 20:14:55 UTC·src:Polymarket Data