Untried-Bargain
0xd05354a902b34d1554120a2eb20e9cfad16d537e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-384.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?
2540 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-228.94
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?
320 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-75.28
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
180 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-30.34
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?
108 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
105 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
81 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
65 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?$228.94Jan 31, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$9.42Dec 7, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$9.42Dec 7, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$5.99Nov 23, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$4.00Nov 23, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$5.00Nov 22, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Capitals$5.00Nov 22, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$10.92Nov 22, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBlue Jackets vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5$3.50Nov 22, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBlue Jackets vs. Red Wings$3.08Nov 22, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAvalanche vs. Predators: O/U 6.5$3.00Nov 22, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAvalanche vs. Predators: O/U 6.5$3.00Nov 22, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLStars vs. Flames: O/U 5.5$2.88Nov 22, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue Jackets vs. Red Wings$4.00Nov 22, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRangers vs. Utah$3.00Nov 22, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStars vs. Flames: O/U 5.5$3.00Nov 22, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue Jackets vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5$5.10Nov 22, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Nov 22, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWild vs. Penguins$0.00Nov 22, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWild vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5$0.00Nov 22, 09:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $11.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 17:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 21:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.