Definite-Lifetime
0xd06247e9042ed430373fc1b7bd6001e5d4c77929
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$742.93
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-5.91
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
600 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$501.00
$-9.00
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
304 shares @ 72.4¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$241.93
$21.65
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-76.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-83.00
- NO
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
1000 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
475 shares @ 65.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-311.26
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?
350 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-183.90
- YES
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference?
286 shares @ 66.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-190.01
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?
250 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-126.25
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
100 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.95
Recent activity
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$804.85Jul 16, 05:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 28, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 20, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 19, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $804.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 05:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.