Wallet digest

active

Activity score

56/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$1.7K

Total PnL

$-713.71

Realised

$-5.91

Win rate

33%

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 12

YES
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1034 shares @ 64.8¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028
$744.48
$74.72
YES
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
600 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028
$543.00
$33.00
YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
304 shares @ 72.4¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028
$240.41
$20.13
YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026
$102.50
$19.50
YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026
$82.50
$6.50
NO
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
1000 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026
$0.00
$-29.00
NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
475 shares @ 65.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026
$0.00
$-311.26
NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?
350 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026
$0.00
$-183.90
YES
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference?
286 shares @ 66.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026
$0.00
$-190.01
NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?
250 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026
$0.00
$-126.25

Recent activity

YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:11 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity37 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry42 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk58 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 1
Avg trade size: $7.60
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 28, 09:26 UTC
Last active: Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 08:13:18 UTC·src:Polymarket Data