Apprehensive-Reversal
0xd06535554c1e3eceea5f58cc0f3884f7c4d193e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.4K
Realised
$-3.7K
Win rate
2%
168 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NEW YORK METS
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
6902 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-23.99
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Spurs
4723 shares @ 71.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants
2875 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- HAWKS
Knicks vs. Hawks
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- OVER
Samson vs. Semenistaja: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
2047 shares @ 70.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- NETS
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
1961 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-999.99
- GRIZZLIES
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
1843 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-995.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
1252 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
1025 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$1.07Aug 22, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$52.99Aug 22, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$10.55Aug 22, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$52.80Aug 22, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLPittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5$117.94Aug 22, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5$168.22Aug 22, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Club León FC (-1.5)$168.36Aug 22, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Club León FC (-1.5)$115.47Aug 22, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$1.07Aug 18, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$1.07Aug 18, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$1.07Aug 18, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$1.07Aug 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLAlexandra Eala vs. Amanda Anisimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5$5.35Aug 18, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandra Eala vs. Amanda Anisimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5$9.47Aug 18, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs$1.46Aug 18, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina$3.64Aug 17, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina$2.04Aug 17, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$2.70Aug 14, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMPackers vs. Steelers$3.74Aug 14, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYPackers vs. Steelers$3.70Aug 14, 01:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 168 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
168 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $21.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 19:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 03:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 168 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.