Ornery-Auction
0xd07bd3d4224f0a72a3638b4182a3628cf008d079
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$42.84
Total PnL
$1.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 Week of April 6 2026?$19.89Apr 8, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $188 Week of April 6 2026?$8.57Apr 7, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 6 above $165?$32.68Apr 7, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 Week of April 6 2026?$18.76Apr 6, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 Week of March 30 2026?$60.00Apr 6, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 Week of March 30 2026?$50.14Mar 31, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?$14.97Mar 31, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?$19.17Mar 31, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) finish week of March 23 above $560?$0.00Mar 31, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $285?$0.00Mar 31, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 23 above $165?$0.00Mar 31, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 23 above $200?$0.00Mar 31, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) finish week of March 23 above $570?$0.00Mar 31, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 23 above $165?$16.00Mar 31, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?$16.92Mar 23, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?$14.34Mar 23, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $285?$7.60Mar 23, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $285?$7.60Mar 23, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of March 23 above $570?$18.80Mar 23, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 23 above $165?$15.20Mar 23, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $16.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 21:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 13:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.