Jolly-Effective
0xd090c2485e4f5e0d7602fdcf6b8935ebd4823bc5
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.54
Total PnL
$-227.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 13?
1087 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.54
$-20.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 9?
3969 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-30.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?
153 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12?
74 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 11?
71 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13?
61 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11?
50 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?
37 shares @ 93.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5$164.63Jun 13, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?$1.95Jun 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5$141.13Jun 13, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?$112.13Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13?$20.67Jun 13, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$0.00Jun 13, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$29.41Jun 13, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$25.26Jun 13, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 13?$1.05Jun 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 13?$20.77Jun 13, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?$101.03Jun 13, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13?$171.30Jun 13, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 13?$1.06Jun 13, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 13?$1.02Jun 13, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13?$160.55Jun 13, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5$162.22Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5$152.28Jun 12, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5$151.27Jun 12, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5$128.61Jun 12, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5$129.62Jun 12, 19:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $55.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 14:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.