Flawless-Brother-Crab
0xd092feff5302a43274756204fe4f2d31ae1ea689
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-48.02
Realised
$-1.58
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 16?
170 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 14?
129 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 8?
126 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 14?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 13?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 13?
24 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 15?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 8?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 8?
20 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 16?
16 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$0.00May 20, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.05May 20, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.04May 20, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.05May 20, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.58May 20, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.05May 20, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$2.46May 20, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.06May 20, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.65May 20, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.05May 20, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$3.90May 20, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.06May 20, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$0.00May 20, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$2.44May 20, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.04May 20, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$1.88May 19, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$1.04May 19, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$0.00May 19, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.04May 19, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.04May 19, 19:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 20:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 22:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.