Impassioned-Catalogue
0xd0a09b06c24be4e6558f05580e6718e7cc2cb6dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$9.47
Total PnL
$-5.15
Realised
$-0.10
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
LA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.11
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on July 6?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.11
$0.00
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$1.11
$0.06
- NO
Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$1.05
$0.00
- NO
Will the South African Reserve Bank cut by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.05
$0.00
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 8, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- NO
Will Solana dip to $10 in June?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 6?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- YES
Will "Black and Blue" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$1.99Jul 5, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$3.00Jul 5, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Misa Esports (BO5) - TESFED League Playoffs$1.00Jul 5, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$4.09Jul 5, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$5.15Jul 5, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on July 6?$5.18Jul 5, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on July 6?$6.30Jul 5, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 6?$4.97Jul 5, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?$1.05Jul 5, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 6?$6.00Jul 5, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the South African Reserve Bank cut by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?$3.94Jul 5, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLLA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round?$3.48Jul 5, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the South African Reserve Bank cut by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?$5.00Jul 5, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 8, 2026?$5.96Jul 5, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round?$4.60Jul 5, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 8, 2026?$7.00Jul 5, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.01Jun 18, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple announce all six next-generation operating systems during the WWDC 2026 keynote?$1.04Jun 18, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?$1.07Jun 18, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 45°C or higher on June 8?$1.07Jun 18, 08:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 09:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 18:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.