Late-Shot
0xd0a2a97e1fe478e6921d1346b76965afdb549633
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$86.17
Total PnL
$-45.77
Realised
$1.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 27?
27 shares @ 76.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$26.14
$5.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 27?
21 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$21.26
$0.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 27?
17 shares @ 66.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$9.93
$-1.47
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 27?
9 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$8.58
$0.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 27?
7 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$6.64
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$5.66
$0.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29?
6 shares @ 69.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.98
$-0.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 27?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$3.97
$-1.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 27?
24 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.01
$-2.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 25?
38 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-26.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29?$4.43Jul 27, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 26?$21.85Jul 26, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 26?$7.00Jul 26, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 26?$18.22Jul 26, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on July 26?$14.59Jul 26, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 27?$16.85Jul 26, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?$5.21Jul 26, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 27?$5.59Jul 26, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 27?$2.98Jul 26, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?$36.21Jul 25, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 27?$6.59Jul 25, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 27?$12.05Jul 25, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 26?$5.41Jul 25, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on July 26?$14.45Jul 25, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 26?$5.99Jul 25, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 27?$17.35Jul 25, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 27?$4.94Jul 25, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 27?$6.01Jul 25, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 27?$5.53Jul 25, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 27?$8.61Jul 25, 10:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $8.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 10:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.