Defiant-Limb
0xd0af2694f5e70539a593f33355bd9cb12874cc5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$39.06
Total PnL
$-16.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on May 2?
14 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$14.00
$0.14
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 53 million views on day 3?
14 shares @ 97.0¢·now 93.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$13.10
$-0.48
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?
12 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$11.96
$0.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on April 26?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 25?
15 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 23?
14 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 24?
14 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.28
- NO
Will Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?
14 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-13.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on May 2?
14 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 26?
13 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 53 million views on day 3?$13.60May 18, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?$14.00May 18, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$10.00May 17, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$0.20May 17, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$9.81May 17, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 16?$13.00May 16, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?$0.14May 16, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?$13.87May 16, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 15?$15.00May 16, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 16?$0.26May 15, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 15?$11.00May 15, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 16?$12.75May 15, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 15?$0.04May 15, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 15?$0.05May 15, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 15?$0.02May 15, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 15?$10.90May 15, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$13.47May 15, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 15?$14.80May 14, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 14?$12.00May 14, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 14?$11.00May 14, 10:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $6.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 18:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".