Unfinished-Poll
0xd0afa69171d2ff6dc1fdabbd773a45280951918d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$5.18
Total PnL
$-5.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
3 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.14
$1.60
- YES
Will Bologna win on 2025-10-19?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$2.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?
8 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?
4 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Valencia win on 2025-10-04?
4 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.24
- YES
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-19?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.12
- MARLINS
Rockies vs. Marlins
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna win on 2025-10-19?$1.00Oct 19, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2025-10-19?$1.12Oct 19, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?$1.54Oct 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valencia win on 2025-10-04?$1.24Oct 3, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$1.00Oct 3, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMTigers vs. White Sox$1.81Aug 6, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTigers vs. White Sox$1.23Jun 2, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockies vs. Marlins$1.25Jun 2, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?$4.00Feb 16, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Timberwolves$0.00Feb 16, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Timberwolves$1.21Feb 13, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?$0.00Feb 13, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?$0.00Feb 13, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?$0.00Feb 13, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?$0.00Feb 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?$4.30Feb 2, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?$2.30Feb 2, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.00Feb 2, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,400 on January 31?$0.00Feb 2, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $4,250 by January 31, 2025?$1.52Feb 2, 10:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 09:23 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 19, 10:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".