0xd0b8aa7ea62ac8d80193d12d6bd3d9e2d4a2aa54
0xd0b8aa7ea62ac8d80193d12d6bd3d9e2d4a2aa54
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$41.90
Total PnL
$19.66
Realised
$-1.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
27 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$26.53
$21.75
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
14 shares @ 34.0¢·now 62.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.68
$3.94
- NO
Will AEK win on 2026-03-19?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$5.26
$4.00
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25 shares @ 4.8¢·now 5.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.43
$0.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 19?
46 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- YES
Will "Man I Need" by Olivia Dean be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 28?
45 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on March 23?
25 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.84
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
12 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.47
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMajor solar storm by April 30?$3.00Mar 27, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$0.13Mar 22, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on March 23?$0.78Mar 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$1.81Mar 22, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.21Mar 22, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$0.29Mar 22, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$0.14Mar 22, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$0.32Mar 22, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$0.52Mar 22, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on March 23?$0.48Mar 22, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on March 23?$1.02Mar 21, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on March 23?$0.82Mar 21, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 24?$0.33Mar 21, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$1.57Mar 21, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$0.15Mar 21, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$4.74Mar 21, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$2.13Mar 21, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 24?$0.50Mar 21, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$0.41Mar 21, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$0.04Mar 21, 15:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 17:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 19:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.