Natural-Jar
0xd0bbd1de8f2c674ed4b7b5e876423e2581609205
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$35.61
Total PnL
$-126.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2297 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$35.61
$10.34
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 25?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 25?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on November 25?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
1400 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-12.60
- YES
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
145 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC vs. PSV end in a draw?
35 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26.02May 22, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$362.48Apr 29, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$383.43Apr 29, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$280.56Apr 29, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$0.50Mar 5, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$0.93Mar 5, 02:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $80.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 16:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".